According to an AI-driven analysis by Sportradar, England is the top contender for Euro 2024, with a 24% chance of winning. Managed by Gareth Southgate, England is favored over France and Germany, despite their loss in the previous Euros final. France, which ended England’s World Cup run in 2022, has an 18.1% chance of victory.
Germany, despite recent struggles, is the third favorite with a 15.2% chance. Portugal and Spain follow with 10.5% and 9.3% chances, respectively. Scotland, however, is a long shot with only a 0.2% chance—or one in 500—of winning the title.
For the Golden Boot, Kylian Mbappe leads with a 15.2% chance, followed closely by England’s Harry Kane at 14.8%. The AI model predicts that scoring six goals could likely secure the Golden Boot, with a 31.4% chance of this goal tally being sufficient.
Euro 2024 is set to kick off in less than a week, promising an exciting summer of football from June 14 to July 14, hosted by Germany.
Euro 2024 Team-by-Team Chances
England 24.0%
France 18.1%
Germany 15.2%
Portugal 10.5%
Spain 9.3%
Italy 5.3%
Netherlands 4.5%
Belgium 4.4%
Croatia 1.8%
Denmark 1.4%
Austria 0.9%
Switzerland 0.9%
Turkey 0.8%
Ukraine 0.8%
Serbia 0.5%
Hungary 0.5%
Poland 0.3%
Czechia 0.3%
Scotland 0.2%
Romania 0.2%
Slovakia 0.1%
Albania 0.1%
Slovenia 0.1%
Georgia 0.0%